1.) Don't play cash poor: as a general
rule you should start with 40-50 times the table limit.
2.) If you've got nothing in your hand, get out.
4.) If you've got a cinch hand, make them pay to see it.
5.) If they've got you beat, fold.
6.) The goal is to beat the other players, not have the highest hand.
If everyone else folds, you take the pot.
7.) Don't try to beat a better player: if you're lucky, you'll win
small; if you're not, you'll lose big.
8.) There's an even chance that you won't better your opening hand.
9.) When it comes to Draw Poker Strategy we begin by considering the
rank of the winning hands. In the Rules of Draw Poker, we introduced the 5-card
hands and their ranking. Here's some idea of the odds on receiving those hands
on the opening deal:
Chances of being dealt the following
hands in the original 5 cards:
| HAND |
ODDS |
| Royal
Flush |
650,
000 |
| Straight
Flush |
72,
200 |
| Four
of a Kind |
4,
200 |
| Full
House |
700 |
| Flush |
510 |
| Straight |
250 |
| Three
of a Kind |
48 |
| Two
Pair |
21 |
| One
Pair |
2.4 |
| No
Pair |
2 |
Based on these chances of receiving
an opening hand, there are a few things you can immediately conclude:
the more players at the table, the greater
the chance that one or more players has a Pair, for example. In other words...
the more players at the table, the lower the relative value of the lesser
ranked hands.
if you haven't got a Pair or better, or four cards
to a Flush or Straight, Fold immediately.
Perhaps this last bit of advice needs some elaboration. What it comes down
to is this: if you hold nothing in the opener your chances of improving and
beating the other players are too slim. Of course this means that you'll fold
most of your opening hands. Welcome to Draw Poker.
So let's assume you've got a little
something to build on. Every beginning player wants to know whether they should
hold a kicker and a Pair, or just the Pair. Same with Trips.
As you'll see in the following, the odds almost always favor tossing the kicker:
Chances
of making:
| HAND |
any improvement |
2 pair |
3 of a kind |
Full House |
4 of a kind |
| Drawing
three cards to a Pair |
1
in 2.5 |
1
in 5 |
1
in 8 |
1
in 97 |
1
in 360 |
| Drawing
two to a Pair with kicker |
1
in 3 |
1
in 5 |
1
in 12 |
1
in 120 |
1
in 1100 |
| Drawing
two to Three of a Kind |
1
in 8.5 |
-- |
-- |
1
in 15.5 |
1
in 22.5 |
| Drawing
one to Three of a Kind with kicker |
1
in 11 |
-- |
-- |
1
in 15 |
1
in 46 |
Needless to say,
the better your opener, the better your chances of improving it. But forget about trying to build
something out of a three card Flush or Straight:
your odds are 1 in 23 and 1 in 150 respectively. It's highly unlikely that
the pot would ever justify that kind of risk.
On the upside, observe the following
chances if you hold four cards to build on:
Chances
of completion:
|
when drawing one card to |
ODDS |
| Four
cards of a Flush |
1
in 4.5 |
| Straight
open at bothends |
1
in 5 |
| Straight
open at one end |
1
in 11 |
| Straight
open on the inside |
1
in 11 |
| Straight
Flush open at both ends |
1
in 23 |
| Straight
Flush open at one end |
1
in 46 |
| Straight
Flush open on the inside |
1
in 46 |
In the end, it's these odds that
must advise you on your Poker betting decisions. If you've got a four-card
Flush and it'll cost you $20 to stay in, the question is "yes
or no"?
First question:
what are your chances of completion on the draw? 1 in 4.5 So
if you're going to stay in, that pot better pay you $90 or better (4.5 x $20),
after you deduct your ante and bets thus far. Anything else is blind faith
in beating the odds and the sidelines are full of players who tried that as
their betting policy. Look where it got them.
Of course, Poker wouldn't be Poker
if that was all there was to it. Bluffing, intimidation, body language and
all the rest of it come into the game if you're playing your opponents across
a table instead of across cyberspace. If that's your game I suggest you do
some serious reading.
There are many, many books on the
Poker subject and your first tough choice will be picking one. But remember,
Poker has been around a long time. Anyone that tries to sell you a "hot new
strategy" is
beating you at the book counter, not the Poker table. Go with the pros.